IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 80.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.69x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 80% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.20x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 48.1% — normal range
Effective IV 68.3% (ATM 48.1% + spread 10.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 16.82% (spread 10.08% + slippage 6.74%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 50.74 (vega 51.146 / spread 10.08%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +32% (strong bullish) — Raw: +39%
|OI skew| 11.0% — balanced
Vol skew -25.0%, OI skew +11.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 44%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -18%, ATM: +61%, OTM: +12% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 80% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.2x avg — hot
Vol/OI 9.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction +32 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.1% — wide
OI 11,008 — adequate
Volume 995/day — adequate
$0.50 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 81% — much wider than sector
Depth 25.2 contracts (bid:12.1 ask:13.1) — thin
Avg slippage 6.74% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +20.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 81% — seller opportunity
IV kink 7.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 869.83 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +32% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.