bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 66.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.93x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 72% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.5% — normal range
Effective IV 117.8% (ATM 40.5% + spread 38.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 53.81% (spread 38.65% + slippage 15.16%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.40 (vega 1.544 / spread 38.65%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +5% (neutral) — Raw: +22%
|OI skew| 48.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +58.1%, OI skew +48.7% — aligned
0-DTE 39%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +83%, OTM: -22% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 21% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 1.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.3% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 20% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction +5 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 38.6% — wide
OI 15,454 — adequate
Volume 296/day — thin
$1.93 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 73% — wider than sector
Depth 150.8 contracts (bid:38.2 ask:112.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 15.16% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +14.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 67% — neutral
IV kink 4.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.40 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +5% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.