Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 66.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.67x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 68% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.68x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.2% — normal range
Effective IV 64.2% (ATM 40.2% + spread 12.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 18.40% (spread 12.02% + slippage 6.38%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 98.41 (vega 118.287 / spread 12.02%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -7% (neutral) — Raw: -9%
|OI skew| 3.8% — balanced
Vol skew -9.0%, OI skew +3.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 31%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +33%, ATM: -4%, OTM: -26% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 61% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.9x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 9.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 10% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction -7 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.0% — wide
OI 90,492 — deep
Volume 8,597/day — active
$0.60 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 69% — wider than sector
Depth 77.4 contracts (bid:38.7 ask:38.7) — thin
Avg slippage 6.38% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +68.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 66% — neutral
IV kink 21.1pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 772.11 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 4d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -7% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 40 (ITM 20% + inst 10%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.