IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 94.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.23x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 81% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.17x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 61.8% — normal range
Effective IV 87.1% (ATM 61.8% + spread 12.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 22.74% (spread 12.63% + slippage 10.11%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 13.73 (vega 17.346 / spread 12.63%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -27% (bearish) — Raw: -33%
|OI skew| 29.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +57.1%, OI skew +29.8% — aligned
0-DTE 30%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -20%, OTM: -34% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 14% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 11% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction -27 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.6% — wide
OI 13,476 — adequate
Volume 210/day — thin
$0.63 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector
Depth 33.599999999999994 contracts (bid:19.4 ask:14.2) — thin
Avg slippage 10.11% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +17.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 94% — seller opportunity
IV kink 8.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 83.23 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -27% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.