bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 60.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.48x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 21% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.15x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 39.2% — normal range
Effective IV 79.3% (ATM 39.2% + spread 20.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 28.63% (spread 20.07% + slippage 8.56%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.97 (vega 13.990 / spread 20.07%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -18% (bearish) — Raw: -19%
|OI skew| 47.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +87.4%, OI skew +47.3% — aligned
0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +100%, OTM: -33% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 2% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.5x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 2.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -2.2% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 22% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction -18 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.1% — wide
OI 4,317 — thin
Volume 127/day — thin
$1.00 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 23% — tighter than sector
Depth 40.0 contracts (bid:19.5 ask:20.5) — thin
Avg slippage 8.56% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +15.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 60% — neutral
IV kink 4.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 136.49 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -18% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.