Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 41.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.18x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 38% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.7% — normal range
Effective IV 63.5% (ATM 33.7% + spread 14.9% + bias) — good value
Total drag 29.65% (spread 14.91% + slippage 14.74%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 53.97 (vega 80.475 / spread 14.91%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -24% (bearish) — Raw: -27%
|OI skew| 7.8% — balanced
Vol skew +17.3%, OI skew -7.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 43%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +9%, ATM: +12%, OTM: -37% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 7.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 40.0% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +37.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 99% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 9% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction -24 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.9% — wide
OI 15,461 — adequate
Volume 6,188/day — active
$0.75 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 40% — tighter than sector
Depth 45.7 contracts (bid:19.5 ask:26.2) — thin
Avg slippage 14.74% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.8% — contango
IV percentile 41% — neutral
IV kink -0.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1350.25 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -24% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 39 (ITM 20% + inst 9%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.