bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 42.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.21x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 9% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.12x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.9% — normal range
Effective IV 44.0% (ATM 33.9% + spread 5.1% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 6.91% (spread 5.07% + slippage 1.84%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.27 (vega 3.178 / spread 5.07%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +11%
|OI skew| 13.9% — balanced
Vol skew +100.0%, OI skew -13.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +11%, ATM: +0%, OTM: +0% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 9% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 75% — urgent
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.1% — wide
OI 857 — thin
Volume 11/day — thin
$0.25 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 11% — much tighter than sector
Depth 11.0 contracts (bid:5.8 ask:5.2) — thin
Avg slippage 1.84% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +12.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 43% — neutral
IV kink 3.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.39 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.