IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 4.2% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.61x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 0% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.93x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 23.2% — normal range
Effective IV 39.1% (ATM 23.2% + spread 8.0% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 14.04% (spread 7.95% + slippage 6.09%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 46.04 (vega 36.603 / spread 7.95%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -17% (bearish) — Raw: -15%
|OI skew| 7.6% — balanced
Vol skew +6.8%, OI skew +7.6% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 28%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -11%, ATM: -12%, OTM: -17% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 86% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 21% — mixed
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction -17 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.0% — wide
OI 389,630 — deep
Volume 26,558/day — active
$0.40 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 5% — much tighter than sector
Depth 145.89999999999998 contracts (bid:71.1 ask:74.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.09% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.8% — contango
IV percentile 4% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -0.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 496.65 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 51 (ITM 20% + inst 21%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.