IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 7.4% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 6% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 24.7% — normal range
Effective IV 35.6% (ATM 24.7% + spread 5.5% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 9.19% (spread 5.46% + slippage 3.73%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 33.51 (vega 18.294 / spread 5.46%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +5% (neutral) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 6.0% — balanced
Vol skew +29.2%, OI skew -6.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 49%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +30%, ATM: +5%, OTM: +9% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 33% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 11.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +14.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 87% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 26% — mixed
Aggressive execution 52% — patient
Conviction +5 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.5% — wide
OI 754,003 — deep
Volume 83,475/day — active
$0.27 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 10% — much tighter than sector
Depth 229.0 contracts (bid:114.0 ask:115.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.73% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -7.8% — contango
IV percentile 7% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -0.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 65.81 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 56 (ITM 20% + inst 26%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.