IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 22.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.41x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 37% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.0% — normal range
Effective IV 72.6% (ATM 29.0% + spread 21.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 29.59% (spread 21.82% + slippage 7.77%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.64 (vega 3.588 / spread 21.82%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +76% (strong bullish) — Raw: +77%
|OI skew| 4.0% — balanced
Vol skew +64.3%, OI skew +4.0% — aligned
0-DTE 44%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -2%, ATM: +80%, OTM: +89% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 12% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.3x avg — hot
Vol/OI 7.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 72% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 86% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 39% — patient
Conviction +76 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.8% — wide
OI 159,786 — deep
Volume 11,912/day — active
$1.09 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 40% — tighter than sector
Depth 1,236.7 contracts (bid:864.7 ask:372.0) — deep
Avg slippage 7.77% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 22% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 472.17 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +76% @ 88% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 116 (ITM 20% + inst 86%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.