IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 80.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.06x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 49% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.86x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 47.8% — normal range
Effective IV 80.7% (ATM 47.8% + spread 16.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 22.95% (spread 16.46% + slippage 6.49%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.19 (vega 6.890 / spread 16.46%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -28% (bearish) — Raw: -28%
|OI skew| 9.4% — balanced
Vol skew -8.6%, OI skew -9.4% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 39%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +33%, ATM: +44%, OTM: -31% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 84% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 61% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 21% — patient
Conviction -28 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.5% — wide
OI 20,474 — adequate
Volume 1,660/day — adequate
$0.82 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Depth 37.9 contracts (bid:24.4 ask:13.5) — thin
Avg slippage 6.49% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -14.0% — contango
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink -6.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 4.26 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -28% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.