IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 80.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.29x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 92% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.05x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 48.0% — normal range
Effective IV 66.1% (ATM 48.0% + spread 9.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 12.61% (spread 9.07% + slippage 3.54%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 21.87 (vega 19.836 / spread 9.07%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 4.3% — balanced
Vol skew +14.5%, OI skew -4.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 26%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -15%, ATM: -6%, OTM: +11% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 43% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 25% — mixed
Aggressive execution 44% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.1% — wide
OI 320,830 — deep
Volume 13,126/day — active
$0.45 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 93% — much wider than sector
Depth 262.1 contracts (bid:138.0 ask:124.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.54% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +4.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 81% — seller opportunity
IV kink -0.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 381.45 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 55 (ITM 20% + inst 25%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.