IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 85.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.02x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 59% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 52.6% — normal range
Effective IV 67.0% (ATM 52.6% + spread 7.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 18.09% (spread 7.22% + slippage 10.87%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 395.22 (vega 285.351 / spread 7.22%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -15% (bearish) — Raw: -14%
|OI skew| 14.9% — balanced
Vol skew -7.3%, OI skew -14.9% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 55%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +2%, ATM: -43%, OTM: -9% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 81% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 24% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 45% — patient
Conviction -15 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.2% — wide
OI 37,263 — adequate
Volume 1,277/day — adequate
$0.36 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 60% — neutral vs sector
Depth 18.5 contracts (bid:8.8 ask:9.7) — thin
Avg slippage 10.87% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +7.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 85% — seller opportunity
IV kink 3.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 227.59 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -15% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.