IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 23.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.15x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 36% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.8% — normal range
Effective IV 64.7% (ATM 29.8% + spread 17.4% + bias) — good value
Total drag 23.83% (spread 17.43% + slippage 6.40%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.17 (vega 2.046 / spread 17.43%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +55% (strong bullish) — Raw: +42%
|OI skew| 31.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +58.1%, OI skew +31.3% — aligned
0-DTE 20%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -18%, ATM: +30%, OTM: +46% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 9% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 29% — mixed
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction +55 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.4% — wide
OI 107,817 — deep
Volume 5,943/day — active
$0.87 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 40% — tighter than sector
Depth 255.0 contracts (bid:129.3 ask:125.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.40% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.7% — contango
IV percentile 24% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -2.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 7.88 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +55% @ 78% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 59 (ITM 20% + inst 29%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.