IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 27.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.15x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 45% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.6% — normal range
Effective IV 73.9% (ATM 30.6% + spread 21.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 28.92% (spread 21.63% + slippage 7.29%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.85 (vega 3.998 / spread 21.63%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +41% (strong bullish) — Raw: +37%
|OI skew| 22.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +56.7%, OI skew +22.3% — aligned
0-DTE 14%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +29%, ATM: +13%, OTM: +45% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 11% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 89% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 33% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction +41 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.6% — wide
OI 121,285 — deep
Volume 9,778/day — active
$1.08 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Depth 328.6 contracts (bid:132.3 ask:196.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.29% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +0.3% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 28% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 56.96 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +41% @ 70% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 63 (ITM 20% + inst 33%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.