IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 2.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.40x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 0% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.23x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 22.4% — normal range
Effective IV 82.2% (ATM 22.4% + spread 29.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 56.78% (spread 29.92% + slippage 26.86%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.05 (vega 18.114 / spread 29.92%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +84% (strong bullish) — Raw: +82%
|OI skew| 79.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew -54.8%, OI skew +79.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 90%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +82%, OTM: +0% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 94% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.4% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 24% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 67% — urgent
Conviction +84 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 29.9% — wide
OI 2,650 — thin
Volume 62/day — thin
$1.50 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 4% — much tighter than sector
Depth 57.7 contracts (bid:48.6 ask:9.1) — thin
Avg slippage 26.86% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +22.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 2% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 4.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 484.34 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 17d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +84% @ 91% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.