Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 44.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.41x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 11% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 34.4% — normal range
Effective IV 68.8% (ATM 34.4% + spread 17.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 25.17% (spread 17.18% + slippage 7.99%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 10.09 (vega 17.342 / spread 17.18%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -40% (strong bearish) — Raw: -52%
|OI skew| 28.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +56.8%, OI skew +28.5% — aligned
0-DTE 26%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -14%, ATM: -96%, OTM: -37% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 15% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.7% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 20% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 24% — patient
Conviction -40 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.2% — wide
OI 7,837 — thin
Volume 190/day — thin
$0.86 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 13% — much tighter than sector
Depth 56.9 contracts (bid:24.4 ask:32.5) — thin
Avg slippage 7.99% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +13.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 45% — neutral
IV kink 4.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 144.40 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -40% @ 70% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.