bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 32.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.28x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 23% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.13x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.6% — normal range
Effective IV 115.9% (ATM 31.6% + spread 42.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 50.61% (spread 42.15% + slippage 8.46%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 10.47 (vega 44.145 / spread 42.15%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: -18%
|OI skew| 30.7% — put-heavy
Vol skew +87.1%, OI skew -30.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 52%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -38%, OTM: +0% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 3% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +259.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 3% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 23% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 42.1% — wide
OI 9,833 — thin
Volume 31/day — thin
$2.11 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 27% — tighter than sector
Depth 37.3 contracts (bid:20.6 ask:16.7) — thin
Avg slippage 8.46% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +13.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 32% — neutral
IV kink 3.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 360.07 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.