
IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 6.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.31x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 0% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 24.6% — normal range
Effective IV 42.5% (ATM 24.6% + spread 9.0% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 15.18% (spread 8.96% + slippage 6.22%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 149.87 (vega 134.280 / spread 8.96%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +16% (bullish) — Raw: +9%
|OI skew| 10.7% — balanced
Vol skew -5.1%, OI skew -10.7% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 14%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +9%, ATM: +31%, OTM: +2% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 70% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 48% — patient
Conviction +16 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.0% — wide
OI 51,851 — deep
Volume 2,004/day — adequate
$0.45 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector
Depth 50.1 contracts (bid:22.1 ask:28.0) — thin
Avg slippage 6.22% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 7% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1216.30 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 14d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.