IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 0.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.15x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 3% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.83x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 20.1% — normal range
Effective IV 65.9% (ATM 20.1% + spread 22.9% + bias) — fair
Total drag 30.19% (spread 22.88% + slippage 7.31%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.19 (vega 11.867 / spread 22.88%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +70% (strong bullish) — Raw: +63%
|OI skew| 70.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +78.3%, OI skew +70.3% — aligned
0-DTE 41%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +57%, OTM: +71% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 0% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 41% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction +70 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 22.9% — wide
OI 3,447 — thin
Volume 83/day — thin
$1.14 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 12% — much tighter than sector
Depth 58.3 contracts (bid:26.2 ask:32.1) — thin
Avg slippage 7.31% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -16.7% — contango
IV percentile 1% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -3.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 602.36 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +70% @ 84% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.