IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 96.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 86% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.25x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 69.1% — normal range
Effective IV 83.9% (ATM 69.1% + spread 7.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 12.72% (spread 7.38% + slippage 5.34%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 28.57 (vega 21.085 / spread 7.38%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -14% (bearish) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 1.0% — balanced
Vol skew -23.2%, OI skew -1.0% — aligned
0-DTE 46%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -18%, ATM: -14%, OTM: +2% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 90% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 41% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 40% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction -14 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.4% — wide
OI 521,203 — deep
Volume 28,689/day — active
$0.37 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 86% — much wider than sector
Depth 194.8 contracts (bid:89.7 ask:105.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.34% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +25.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 12.1pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 40.82 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 70 (ITM 20% + inst 40%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.