IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.09x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 81% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.18x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 71.5% — normal range
Effective IV 82.3% (ATM 71.5% + spread 5.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 8.77% (spread 5.38% + slippage 3.39%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 60.70 (vega 32.657 / spread 5.38%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +11% (bullish) — Raw: +15%
|OI skew| 6.3% — balanced
Vol skew +28.1%, OI skew -6.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -0%, ATM: +8%, OTM: +19% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 44% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.7% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 52% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 5% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction +11 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.4% — wide
OI 592,933 — deep
Volume 36,022/day — active
$0.27 to cross — cheap
8 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector
Depth 98.9 contracts (bid:54.5 ask:44.4) — thin
Avg slippage 3.39% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +18.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 95% — seller opportunity
IV kink 12.3pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 66.69 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +11% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 35 (ITM 20% + inst 5%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.