IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 93.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.32x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 94% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.56x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 60.9% — normal range
Effective IV 101.1% (ATM 60.9% + spread 20.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 25.21% (spread 20.09% + slippage 5.12%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 7.33 (vega 14.731 / spread 20.09%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +10% (bullish) — Raw: +18%
|OI skew| 25.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +1.3%, OI skew +25.4% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 19%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -24%, ATM: -30%, OTM: +41% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 64% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 19% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 19% — mixed
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction +10 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.1% — wide
OI 398,350 — deep
Volume 6,599/day — active
$1.00 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Depth 369.3 contracts (bid:222.3 ask:147.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.12% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +56.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 93% — seller opportunity
IV kink 21.9pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1248.38 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 49 (ITM 20% + inst 19%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.