Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 66.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.89x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 91% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.85x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.5% — normal range
Effective IV 76.8% (ATM 40.5% + spread 18.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 24.89% (spread 18.13% + slippage 6.76%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.50 (vega 0.897 / spread 18.13%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +17% (bullish) — Raw: +14%
|OI skew| 23.2% — put-heavy
Vol skew +25.3%, OI skew -23.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 24%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -21%, ATM: +35%, OTM: +11% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 3% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction +17 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.1% — wide
OI 78,968 — deep
Volume 680/day — adequate
$0.91 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 91% — much wider than sector
Depth 178.5 contracts (bid:87.0 ask:91.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.76% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -15.1% — contango
IV percentile 67% — neutral
IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.41 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +17% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.