IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 15.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.28x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 22% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 27.4% — normal range
Effective IV 50.1% (ATM 27.4% + spread 11.4% + bias) — good value
Total drag 17.28% (spread 11.37% + slippage 5.91%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 117.03 (vega 133.066 / spread 11.37%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -14% (bearish) — Raw: -13%
|OI skew| 0.5% — balanced
Vol skew +37.7%, OI skew +0.5% — aligned
0-DTE 36%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +3%, ATM: -34%, OTM: +3% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 57% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 21% — mixed
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction -14 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.4% — wide
OI 146,565 — deep
Volume 7,260/day — active
$0.57 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 25% — tighter than sector
Depth 75.2 contracts (bid:35.0 ask:40.2) — thin
Avg slippage 5.91% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.3% — contango
IV percentile 15% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -2.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 984.22 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 51 (ITM 20% + inst 21%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.