Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 32.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.11x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 24% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.8% — normal range
Effective IV 75.5% (ATM 31.8% + spread 21.9% + bias) — fair
Total drag 27.26% (spread 21.86% + slippage 5.40%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.26 (vega 7.125 / spread 21.86%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -7% (neutral) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 36.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +1.3%, OI skew +36.5% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 32%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -33%, OTM: -1% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 60% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 32% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 4% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 14% — patient
Conviction -7 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.9% — wide
OI 71,742 — deep
Volume 2,579/day — adequate
$1.09 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 26% — tighter than sector
Depth 72.9 contracts (bid:29.3 ask:43.6) — thin
Avg slippage 5.40% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.8% — contango
IV percentile 33% — neutral
IV kink -3.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 5.29 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -7% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 34 (ITM 20% + inst 4%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.