Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 55.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 61% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.6% — normal range
Effective IV 95.7% (ATM 37.6% + spread 29.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 40.18% (spread 29.07% + slippage 11.11%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.63 (vega 10.560 / spread 29.07%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -67% (strong bearish) — Raw: -75%
|OI skew| 22.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +96.6%, OI skew +22.4% — aligned
0-DTE 3%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +50%, OTM: -84% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 1% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 29% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 59% — patient
Conviction -67 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 29.1% — wide
OI 9,885 — thin
Volume 238/day — thin
$1.45 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 63% — wider than sector
Depth 76.1 contracts (bid:35.5 ask:40.6) — thin
Avg slippage 11.11% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +9.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 56% — neutral
IV kink 4.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 337.37 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -67% @ 84% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.