IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 85.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.30x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 60% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.03x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 53.1% — normal range
Effective IV 76.1% (ATM 53.1% + spread 11.5% + bias) — fair
Total drag 15.15% (spread 11.49% + slippage 3.66%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.40 (vega 6.209 / spread 11.49%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +26% (bullish) — Raw: +17%
|OI skew| 41.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +68.9%, OI skew +41.4% — aligned
0-DTE 20%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +20%, ATM: +22%, OTM: +8% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 7% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.5x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 3.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 26% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 56% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 31% — patient
Conviction +26 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.5% — wide
OI 319,777 — deep
Volume 11,579/day — active
$0.57 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 61% — wider than sector
Depth 215.1 contracts (bid:124.5 ask:90.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.66% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +3.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 57.98 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 27d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +26% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 86 (ITM 20% + inst 56%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.