IV is low with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 5.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.36x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 2% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 23.6% — normal range
Effective IV 56.1% (ATM 23.6% + spread 16.2% + bias) — good value
Total drag 22.92% (spread 16.23% + slippage 6.69%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 17.53 (vega 28.444 / spread 16.23%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -29% (bearish) — Raw: -43%
|OI skew| 34.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +51.5%, OI skew +34.8% — aligned
0-DTE 45%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +87%, ATM: -78%, OTM: -33% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 19% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.2x avg — hot
Vol/OI 11.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +12.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 95% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 58% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 44% — patient
Conviction -29 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.2% — wide
OI 140,540 — deep
Volume 16,107/day — active
$0.81 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 7% — much tighter than sector
Depth 200.5 contracts (bid:91.3 ask:109.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.69% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.2% — contango
IV percentile 5% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -0.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1800.23 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -29% @ 65% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 88 (ITM 20% + inst 58%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.