bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 33.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.11x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 25% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.13x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.9% — normal range
Effective IV 122.8% (ATM 31.9% + spread 45.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 56.48% (spread 45.46% + slippage 11.02%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 31.16 (vega 141.644 / spread 45.46%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +20% (bullish) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 25.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +41.2%, OI skew +25.3% — aligned
0-DTE 29%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -71%, OTM: +41% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 30% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.2% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 15% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 17% — patient
Conviction +20 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 45.5% — wide
OI 2,985 — thin
Volume 34/day — thin
$2.27 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 25% — tighter than sector
Depth 23.1 contracts (bid:8.9 ask:14.2) — thin
Avg slippage 11.02% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +12.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 34% — neutral
IV kink 4.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 742.37 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +20% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.