IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 93.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.47x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.25x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 60.4% — normal range
Effective IV 92.5% (ATM 60.4% + spread 16.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 23.27% (spread 16.04% + slippage 7.23%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 23.61 (vega 37.873 / spread 16.04%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +10% (neutral) — Raw: +6%
|OI skew| 17.0% — put-heavy
Vol skew +39.8%, OI skew -17.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 37%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +16%, ATM: -39%, OTM: +25% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 31% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.3% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 20% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction +10 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.0% — wide
OI 29,971 — adequate
Volume 349/day — thin
$0.80 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 93% — much wider than sector
Depth 54.3 contracts (bid:26.5 ask:27.8) — thin
Avg slippage 7.23% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +24.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 93% — seller opportunity
IV kink 13.0pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 496.36 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.