MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.
Options Analysis Report•SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
Market Cap $72.1B|NASDAQ
● 2026-04-17$1468.35
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-04-16 EOD data
1Y +188.9%YTD +56.8%7D +8.5%
Options Vol
519
30D
Implied Move
±17.8%
IV Rank
69%
MPWR Options Overview
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
4.5
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 89.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 0.94x — IV ≤ HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 67% — above sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 55.2% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 68.1% (ATM 55.2% + spread 6.5% + bias) — fair
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 11.86% (spread 6.46% + slippage 5.40%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 758.56 (vega 490.027 / spread 6.46%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
6.9
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Moderate signal (Conviction: +42%, Raw: +39%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: +42% (strong bullish) — Raw: +39%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 8.6% — balanced
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +24.9%, OI skew -8.6% — divergent (opposite)
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: +31%, ATM: +32%, OTM: +43% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
4.6
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks2/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 1.4x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 5.4% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +6.5% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 40% — neutral vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 31% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction +42 (bullish) — moderate
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
4.6
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 6.5% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 9,671 — thin
Active Volume
≥500Volume 519/day — adequate
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$0.32 to cross — cheap
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes12 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 68% — wider than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 14.600000000000001 contracts (bid:7.9 ask:6.7) — thin
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 5.40% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
7.9
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope +13.7% — backwardation
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink 6.8pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 1010.36 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations3 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow +42% @ 71% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls5.8
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Long Puts4.5
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.9
bullishIV fair, bullish flow
Covered Call4.9
bearishIV fair, bullish flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.