Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 38.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.50x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 30% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.8% — normal range
Effective IV 57.8% (ATM 32.8% + spread 12.5% + bias) — good value
Total drag 28.30% (spread 12.51% + slippage 15.79%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 34.04 (vega 42.579 / spread 12.51%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 15.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew -2.2%, OI skew +15.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 13%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -35%, ATM: -37%, OTM: +6% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 58% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 5.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 80% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 16% — mixed
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.5% — wide
OI 538,421 — deep
Volume 30,650/day — active
$0.63 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 34% — tighter than sector
Depth 318.5 contracts (bid:163.7 ask:154.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 15.79% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.3% — contango
IV percentile 39% — neutral
IV kink -3.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1917.96 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 46 (ITM 20% + inst 16%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.