Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 38.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.23x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 29% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.20x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.7% — normal range
Effective IV 66.3% (ATM 32.7% + spread 16.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 21.68% (spread 16.82% + slippage 4.86%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 215.10 (vega 361.798 / spread 16.82%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -72% (strong bearish) — Raw: -75%
|OI skew| 64.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +20.0%, OI skew +64.5% — aligned
0-DTE 30%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: -100%, OTM: -67% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 44% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 5% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 29% — patient
Conviction -72 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.8% — wide
OI 2,523 — thin
Volume 10/day — thin
$0.84 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 32% — tighter than sector
Depth 11.7 contracts (bid:5.1 ask:6.6) — thin
Avg slippage 4.86% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +20.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 38% — neutral
IV kink 5.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1008.64 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -72% @ 80% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.