Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 33.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 49% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.33x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 31.9% — normal range
Effective IV 87.9% (ATM 31.9% + spread 28.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 41.68% (spread 27.99% + slippage 13.69%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.10 (vega 14.273 / spread 27.99%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: +2%
|OI skew| 41.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +33.0%, OI skew +41.0% — aligned
0-DTE 43%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -6%, OTM: +10% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 31% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 13% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 28.0% — wide
OI 32,680 — adequate
Volume 439/day — thin
$1.40 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Depth 128.2 contracts (bid:59.5 ask:68.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 13.69% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +33.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 34% — neutral
IV kink 8.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 399.82 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.