IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 18.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.08x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 12% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.1% — normal range
Effective IV 47.6% (ATM 28.1% + spread 9.8% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 12.35% (spread 9.77% + slippage 2.58%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 46.94 (vega 45.859 / spread 9.77%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +6% (neutral) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 68.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +61.8%, OI skew +68.5% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +56%, ATM: +70%, OTM: -69% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 20% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.9x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 6.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 10% — patient
Conviction +6 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.8% — wide
OI 1,030 — thin
Volume 68/day — thin
$0.49 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 16% — much tighter than sector
Depth 21.8 contracts (bid:10.4 ask:11.4) — thin
Avg slippage 2.58% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.2% — contango
IV percentile 18% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -2.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 408.73 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.