IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.04x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 80% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.37x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 53.6% — normal range
Effective IV 77.6% (ATM 53.6% + spread 12.0% + bias) — fair
Total drag 21.02% (spread 12.01% + slippage 9.01%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.75 (vega 2.099 / spread 12.01%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -10% (neutral) — Raw: -18%
|OI skew| 13.5% — balanced
Vol skew +24.3%, OI skew +13.5% — aligned
0-DTE 43%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +6%, ATM: -2%, OTM: -24% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 25% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 4% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 19% — patient
Conviction -10 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.0% — wide
OI 541,562 — deep
Volume 13,629/day — active
$0.60 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 80% — much wider than sector
Depth 367.20000000000005 contracts (bid:175.3 ask:191.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.01% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +36.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink 14.9pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 3.91 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 34 (ITM 20% + inst 4%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.