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NEMNewmont Corporation

Options Analysis ReportGOLD AND SILVER ORES
Market Cap $134.9B|NYSE
2026-08-31$127.98
BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +68.7%YTD +26.4%7D -2.9%
44,840
30D
±11.6%
4%

NEM Options Overview

IV is elevated with bearish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.6VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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NEM Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.9
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 82.2% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.78x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 70% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.97x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 40.1% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 59.0% (ATM 40.1% + spread 9.4% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 14.92% (spread 9.43% + slippage 5.49%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 17.96 (vega 16.936 / spread 9.43%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

2.5
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -53%, Raw: -49%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -53% (strong bearish) — Raw: -49%

≥15%

|OI skew| 16.3% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -30.2%, OI skew +16.3% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -22%, ATM: +2%, OTM: -59% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 90% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

6.0
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks5/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.5x avg — elevated

≥15%

Vol/OI 7.9% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +7.8% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 95% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 57% — heavy institutional

≥60%

Aggressive execution 28% — patient

≥30

Conviction -53 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.7
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 9.4% — wide

≥10,000

OI 568,649 — deep

≥500

Volume 44,840/day — active

≤$0.50

$0.47 to cross — cheap

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 70% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 331.79999999999995 contracts (bid:143.6 ask:188.2) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 5.49% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.6
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -2.7% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.8pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 177.90 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

5 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -53% @ 77% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 87 (ITM 20% + inst 57%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.1
bullishIV cheap, bearish flow
Long Puts7.5
bearishIV cheap, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put3.9
bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow
Covered Call5.6
bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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