IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 71.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.41x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 35% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.11x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 42.8% — normal range
Effective IV 60.7% (ATM 42.8% + spread 8.9% + bias) — good value
Total drag 12.96% (spread 8.93% + slippage 4.03%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 46.64 (vega 41.646 / spread 8.93%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -3% (neutral) — Raw: +6%
|OI skew| 5.7% — balanced
Vol skew +29.1%, OI skew +5.7% — aligned
0-DTE 19%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -56%, ATM: -19%, OTM: +30% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 30% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 8% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction -3 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.9% — wide
OI 42,367 — adequate
Volume 1,695/day — adequate
$0.45 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 37% — tighter than sector
Depth 107.5 contracts (bid:39.1 ask:68.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.03% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +11.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 72% — seller opportunity
IV kink 4.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 409.09 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 38 (ITM 20% + inst 8%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.