IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 0.4% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.33x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 0% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.82x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 19.5% — normal range
Effective IV 48.9% (ATM 19.5% + spread 14.7% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 19.58% (spread 14.72% + slippage 4.86%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 16.09 (vega 23.688 / spread 14.72%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -1% (neutral) — Raw: -13%
|OI skew| 17.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +57.4%, OI skew +17.6% — aligned
0-DTE 32%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -26%, ATM: -16%, OTM: -3% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 23% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 74% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 40% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction -1 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.7% — wide
OI 137,151 — deep
Volume 5,601/day — active
$0.74 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 19% — much tighter than sector
Depth 237.39999999999998 contracts (bid:164.2 ask:73.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.86% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -17.6% — contango
IV percentile 0% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -3.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2960.94 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -1% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 70 (ITM 20% + inst 40%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.