IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 20.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.98x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 14% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.7% — normal range
Effective IV 46.0% (ATM 28.7% + spread 8.7% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 11.46% (spread 8.65% + slippage 2.81%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 48.45 (vega 41.910 / spread 8.65%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +5% (neutral) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 52.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew -7.7%, OI skew +52.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 19%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +27%, ATM: -14%, OTM: +4% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 70% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 35% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 9% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction +5 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.7% — wide
OI 140,477 — deep
Volume 4,265/day — adequate
$0.43 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 17% — much tighter than sector
Depth 218.10000000000002 contracts (bid:125.9 ask:92.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.81% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +10.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 21% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 3.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3810.03 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +5% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 39 (ITM 20% + inst 9%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.