bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 40.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.69x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 40% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.4% — normal range
Effective IV 85.5% (ATM 33.4% + spread 26.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 36.50% (spread 26.07% + slippage 10.43%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 9.98 (vega 26.014 / spread 26.07%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +7% (neutral) — Raw: +9%
|OI skew| 13.5% — balanced
Vol skew +51.9%, OI skew -13.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 71%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: +31%, OTM: +5% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.2% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 19% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 15% — patient
Conviction +7 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 26.1% — wide
OI 25,362 — adequate
Volume 574/day — adequate
$1.30 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Depth 83.7 contracts (bid:46.7 ask:37.0) — thin
Avg slippage 10.43% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 40% — neutral
IV kink 2.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1478.09 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +7% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.