IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 79.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.98x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 50% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.84x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 69.6% — normal range
Effective IV 90.0% (ATM 69.6% + spread 10.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.17% (spread 10.22% + slippage 4.95%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.48 (vega 1.512 / spread 10.22%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -16% (bearish) — Raw: -10%
|OI skew| 44.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +42.5%, OI skew +44.1% — aligned
0-DTE 19%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -15%, ATM: -30%, OTM: -7% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 44% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 62% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 28% — mixed
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction -16 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.2% — wide
OI 598,105 — deep
Volume 16,800/day — active
$0.51 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 80% — wider than sector
Depth 624.0 contracts (bid:318.4 ask:305.6) — deep
Avg slippage 4.95% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -15.6% — contango
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink -11.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 48.93 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.