Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 46.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.62x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 42% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.11x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 34.7% — normal range
Effective IV 67.9% (ATM 34.7% + spread 16.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 20.88% (spread 16.60% + slippage 4.28%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 7.87 (vega 13.069 / spread 16.60%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 4.7% — balanced
Vol skew +6.5%, OI skew +4.7% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 8%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -11%, ATM: -15%, OTM: +27% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -1.3% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 37% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 61% — urgent
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.6% — wide
OI 14,875 — adequate
Volume 387/day — thin
$0.83 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 44% — neutral vs sector
Depth 67.3 contracts (bid:31.8 ask:35.5) — thin
Avg slippage 4.28% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +10.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 46% — neutral
IV kink 3.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 495.05 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 5d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.