IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 7.9% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.08x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 2% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 21.6% — normal range
Effective IV 41.9% (ATM 21.6% + spread 10.1% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 16.16% (spread 10.13% + slippage 6.03%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.64 (vega 2.679 / spread 10.13%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +34% (strong bullish) — Raw: +20%
|OI skew| 78.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +59.7%, OI skew +78.0% — aligned
0-DTE 6%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +27%, ATM: +92%, OTM: -52% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 36% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -1.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 27% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 53% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction +34 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.1% — wide
OI 245,513 — deep
Volume 2,155/day — adequate
$0.51 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Depth 430.9 contracts (bid:211.4 ask:219.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.03% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +14.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 8% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 366.95 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +34% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 83 (ITM 20% + inst 53%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.