
IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 14.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.31x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 5% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 25.1% — normal range
Effective IV 53.9% (ATM 25.1% + spread 14.4% + bias) — good value
Total drag 20.63% (spread 14.40% + slippage 6.23%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.55 (vega 3.675 / spread 14.40%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +53% (strong bullish) — Raw: +48%
|OI skew| 57.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +95.3%, OI skew +57.1% — aligned
0-DTE 2%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -6%, ATM: +80%, OTM: -28% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 7% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -8.3% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 25% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 53% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction +53 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.4% — wide
OI 207,652 — deep
Volume 1,707/day — adequate
$0.72 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Depth 432.0 contracts (bid:199.1 ask:232.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.23% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +10.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 14% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 574.19 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +53% @ 76% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 83 (ITM 20% + inst 53%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.