
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 92.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.26x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 78% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.16x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 59.0% — normal range
Effective IV 81.4% (ATM 59.0% + spread 11.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.43% (spread 11.21% + slippage 4.22%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 52.70 (vega 59.076 / spread 11.21%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +18% (bullish) — Raw: +0%
|OI skew| 9.6% — balanced
Vol skew -2.0%, OI skew +9.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 10%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +61%, ATM: +40%, OTM: -16% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 77% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 13% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction +18 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.2% — wide
OI 23,954 — adequate
Volume 453/day — thin
$0.56 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 78% — wider than sector
Depth 63.400000000000006 contracts (bid:31.8 ask:31.6) — thin
Avg slippage 4.22% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +15.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 92% — seller opportunity
IV kink 7.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2016.25 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 19d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +18% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.