bearish flow with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 45.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.19x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 28% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 36.2% — normal range
Effective IV 63.8% (ATM 36.2% + spread 13.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 23.57% (spread 13.82% + slippage 9.75%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.50 (vega 0.698 / spread 13.82%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 2.9% — balanced
Vol skew -13.7%, OI skew -2.9% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +69%, ATM: -43%, OTM: -14% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 87% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 3.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 83% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 84% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 68% — urgent
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.8% — wide
OI 1,889,134 — deep
Volume 73,682/day — active
$0.69 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Depth 993.2 contracts (bid:492.1 ask:501.1) — deep
Avg slippage 9.75% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.7% — contango
IV percentile 45% — neutral
IV kink 0.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 22.21 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 114 (ITM 20% + inst 84%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.