IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 8.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.09x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 45% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.05x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 25.0% — normal range
Effective IV 65.9% (ATM 25.0% + spread 20.4% + bias) — fair
Total drag 27.84% (spread 20.45% + slippage 7.39%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.80 (vega 1.627 / spread 20.45%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +40% (strong bullish) — Raw: +35%
|OI skew| 25.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +37.2%, OI skew +25.6% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: +76%, OTM: +26% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 41% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction +40 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 20.4% — wide
OI 16,080 — adequate
Volume 433/day — thin
$1.02 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Depth 97.0 contracts (bid:48.2 ask:48.8) — thin
Avg slippage 7.39% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +4.9% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 8% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 6.21 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +40% @ 70% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.