IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 6.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.21x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 6% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.03x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 24.6% — normal range
Effective IV 49.8% (ATM 24.6% + spread 12.6% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 19.51% (spread 12.61% + slippage 6.90%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 62.50 (vega 78.808 / spread 12.61%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: -3%
|OI skew| 13.6% — balanced
Vol skew +47.7%, OI skew +13.6% — aligned
0-DTE 61%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -30%, ATM: -6%, OTM: -1% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 26% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.5x avg — hot
Vol/OI 17.4% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +10.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 97% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 12% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 45% — patient
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.6% — wide
OI 355,880 — deep
Volume 61,837/day — active
$0.63 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 11% — much tighter than sector
Depth 155.6 contracts (bid:57.8 ask:97.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.90% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +2.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 7% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 4169.71 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 42 (ITM 20% + inst 12%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.