IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 9.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.14x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 4% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.87x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 25.9% — normal range
Effective IV 44.0% (ATM 25.9% + spread 9.1% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 15.05% (spread 9.06% + slippage 5.99%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.69 (vega 3.344 / spread 9.06%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -19% (bearish) — Raw: -25%
|OI skew| 8.5% — balanced
Vol skew +11.2%, OI skew +8.5% — aligned
0-DTE 26%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +1%, ATM: +4%, OTM: -40% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 50% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 63% — urgent
Conviction -19 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.1% — wide
OI 2,569,629 — deep
Volume 83,553/day — active
$0.45 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 8% — much tighter than sector
Depth 317.4 contracts (bid:174.9 ask:142.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.99% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -12.8% — contango
IV percentile 10% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -3.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 274.06 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -19% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 80 (ITM 20% + inst 50%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.