IV is low with bullish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 27.0% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.36x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 45% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.4% — normal range
Effective IV 118.7% (ATM 30.4% + spread 44.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 65.92% (spread 44.13% + slippage 21.79%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.53 (vega 15.574 / spread 44.13%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -63% (strong bearish) — Raw: -62%
|OI skew| 14.2% — balanced
Vol skew +100.0%, OI skew -14.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 70%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -79%, OTM: -14% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 9% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 18% — patient
Conviction -63 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 44.1% — wide
OI 3,088 — thin
Volume 30/day — thin
$2.21 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Depth 112.80000000000001 contracts (bid:62.7 ask:50.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 21.79% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.9% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 27% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -0.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 415.32 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: Earnings in 6d (elevated risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -63% @ 81% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.